Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 82.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 5.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.79%) and 0-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-0 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.