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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Milltown Playing Fields

Warrenpoint
0 - 1
Crusaders

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Heatley (9')
Joe Burns (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Warrenpoint Town and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 82.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 5.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.79%) and 0-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-0 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Warrenpoint TownDrawCrusaders
5.25%12.24%82.51%
Both teams to score 39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.51%37.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.28%59.72%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.86%58.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.33%89.67%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.16%6.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.81%25.19%
Score Analysis
    Warrenpoint Town 5.25%
    Crusaders 82.49%
    Draw 12.24%
Warrenpoint TownDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 2.16%
2-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 5.25%
1-1 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 3.98%
2-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 12.24%
0-2 @ 14.31%
0-3 @ 12.79%
0-1 @ 10.66%
0-4 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 7.76%
1-3 @ 6.94%
1-4 @ 4.66%
0-5 @ 4.61%
1-5 @ 2.5%
0-6 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.26%
1-6 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 82.49%


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