Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-23s win with a probability of 85.14%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Germany Under-23s had a probability of 4.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-23s win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 4-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Germany Under-23s win it was 0-1 (1.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil Under-23s would win this match.