Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa Under-23s win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Japan Under-23s had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
