Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea Under-23s win with a probability of 78.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for New Zealand Under-23s had a probability of 7.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.03%) and 0-1 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a New Zealand Under-23s win it was 1-0 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
