Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
We said: Ukraine 1-1 Morocco
Ukraine should feel hard done by to have come away with nothing in their loss to Iraq despite fashioning ample chances to have claimed a point.
They should share the spoils against a talented Morocco team on Saturday, which would see them head into the final group game still in with a shot of securing progress to the next round.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine Under-23s win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Morocco Under-23s had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Morocco Under-23s win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ukraine Under-23s would win this match.
| Result |
| Ukraine Under-23s | Draw | Morocco Under-23s |
39.62% ( 7.65) | 25.7% ( -0.76) | 34.68% ( -6.89) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( 3.21) |
| 50.97% ( 3.8) | 49.02% ( -3.8) |
| 28.89% ( 3.35) | 71.1% ( -3.34) |
| 75.6% ( 6.38) | 24.4% ( -6.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.18% ( 8.22) | 58.81% ( -8.22) |
| 72.83% ( -2.07) | 27.17% ( 2.07) |
