Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-23s win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Manchester City Under-23s had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.