Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.