Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley U23 win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley U23 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.