Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.