Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 0-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea in this match.
