SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Southampton |
| 37.19% | 24.85% | 37.96% |
| Both teams to score 58.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% | 44.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% | 67.29% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% | 23.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.98% | 58.02% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% | 23.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.57% | 57.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.96% |
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