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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Jun 19, 2020 at 6pm UK
Carrow Road
SL

Norwich
0 - 3
Southampton


Aarons (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ings (49'), Armstrong (54'), Redmond (79')
Ings (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
37.19%24.85%37.96%
Both teams to score 58.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06%44.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71%67.29%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98%58.02%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57%57.43%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 37.19%
    Southampton 37.96%
    Draw 24.85%
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.33%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.04%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 37.19%
1-1 @ 11.62%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-1 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.06%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.96%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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