While Arouca will be looking to immediately return to winning ways, they face the stern test of going up against a rampant Porto side who appear simply unbeatable at the moment. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we anticipate Porto will come away with all three points unscathed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 6.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.08%) and 0-1 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
