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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Jun 11, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estádio Nacional
VD

Belenenses
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Sacko (29' og.)
Coelho (73'), Matias (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
BelenensesDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
16.11%22.05%61.84%
Both teams to score 47.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34%49.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32%71.68%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23%43.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06%79.93%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53%44.47%
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 16.11%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 61.83%
    Draw 22.04%
BelenensesDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 5.62%
2-1 @ 4.32%
2-0 @ 2.32%
3-1 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.11%
1-1 @ 10.46%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 12.66%
0-2 @ 11.78%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-3 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-4 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-5 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.16%
1-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 61.83%


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