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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Jul 4, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
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Benfica
3 - 1
Boavista

Almeida (13'), Pizzi (31'), Gabriel (42')
Tavares (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Dulanto (64')
Cassiano (40'), Obiora (62')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Boavista.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 9.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBoavista
73.26%17.36%9.38%
Both teams to score 42.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53%45.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2%67.8%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08%10.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.9%35.09%
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.67%52.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.78%86.21%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 73.25%
    Boavista 9.38%
    Draw 17.36%
BenficaDrawBoavista
2-0 @ 14.01%
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 6.7%
4-0 @ 5.73%
4-1 @ 3.71%
5-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.17%
5-1 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.2%
6-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 73.25%
1-1 @ 8.19%
0-0 @ 5.71%
2-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.36%
0-1 @ 3.7%
1-2 @ 2.65%
0-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 9.38%


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