SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
| 23.63% | 23.15% | 53.22% |
| Both teams to score 56.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% | 44.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% | 66.49% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% | 32.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.91% | 69.09% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% | 16.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.69% | 46.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 6.1% 1-0 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.63% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.22% |
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