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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Jun 12, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Jose Alvalade
PD

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Cabral (64')
Nunes (57'), Henrique (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diaby-Fadiga (62'), Carlos (75'), (77')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Pacos de Ferreira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 14.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPacos de Ferreira
64.06%21.71%14.22%
Both teams to score 44.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3%51.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53%73.47%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5%15.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.6%44.39%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.36%47.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.04%82.96%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 64.05%
    Pacos de Ferreira 14.23%
    Draw 21.7%
Sporting LisbonDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.76%
2-0 @ 12.83%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.91%
4-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.19%
5-0 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 64.05%
1-1 @ 10.2%
0-0 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.48%
1-2 @ 3.79%
0-2 @ 2.03%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2%
Total : 14.23%


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