Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
