Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Rudeš had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Rudeš win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
