Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
