Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
