Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Al Arabi	Draw	Umm Salal
50.42% ( 0.09)	24.16% ( 0.09)	25.42% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

-0.53)

46.83% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.92% (

-0.5)

69.08% (

0.51)

Al Arabi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4% (

-0.17)

18.6% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.11% (

-0.29)

49.89% (

0.29)

Umm Salal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48% (

-0.43)

32.52% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.95% (

-0.48)

69.05% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Al Arabi 50.41%

Umm Salal 25.42%

Draw 24.16%

Al Arabi	Draw	Umm Salal
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.41%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.16%	0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 25.42%