SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Al Shamal had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for an Al Shamal win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Shamal |
63.5% ( 0.23) | 19.2% ( -0.08) | 17.3% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.08) | 34.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.38% ( 0.09) | 56.61% ( -0.09) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.59% ( 0.08) | 10.41% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.04% ( 0.18) | 33.96% ( -0.19) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( -0.13) | 33.23% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.16% ( -0.14) | 69.84% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Shamal |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 63.5% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.2% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 17.3% |
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