SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Falkirk | 39 | 1.86 | Miller |
| 2 | Ayr | 36 | 1.64 | Oakley |
| 3 | Livingston | 30 | 1.36 | May |
| 4 | Hamilton | 27 | 1.35 | Shaw |
| 5 | Partick | 27 | 1.23 | Graham |
| 6 | Queen's Park | 24 | 1.09 | Rudden |
| 7 | Dunfermline | 21 | 0.95 | Kane |
| 8 | Morton | 19 | 0.95 | Stuparevic |
| 9 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 0.95 | Easton |
| 10 | Airdrieonians | 14 | 0.67 | Mochrie |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | East Kilbride |
54.95% ( -1.15) | 22.02% ( 0.38) | 23.04% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 59.45% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.42% ( -0.83) | 39.58% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.07% ( -0.87) | 61.93% ( 0.87) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( -0.64) | 14.37% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.75% ( -1.26) | 42.25% ( 1.26) |
| East Kilbride Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( 0.21) | 30.58% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( 0.24) | 66.81% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | East Kilbride |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.89% Total : 23.04% |
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