SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Kilbride | Draw | Queen of the South |
31.41% ( 0.34) | 23.29% ( 0.02) | 45.29% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( 0.08) | 38.93% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% ( 0.08) | 61.25% ( -0.08) |
| East Kilbride Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( 0.25) | 24.28% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% ( 0.35) | 58.65% ( -0.34) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.11) | 17.56% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( -0.2) | 48.1% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Kilbride | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.41% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.95% Total : 45.29% |
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