Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botosani win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for U Craiova 1948 had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botosani win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest U Craiova 1948 win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botosani would win this match.