Arsenal Tula
2 - 3
Spartak Moscow

Lutsenko (90+4'), Lesovoy (90+9')
Tkachev (68'), Kavalyow (72'), Banda (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sobolev (44'), Rasskazov (66'), Ponce (79')
Gigot (3'), Sobolev (28'), Lucas (42'), Bakaev (45+4'), Dzhikiya (90+5'), Yeshchenko (90+9')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Tula	Draw	Spartak Moscow
33.45%	26.57%	39.98%

Both teams to score 51.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.09%

52.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.48%

74.52%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17%

29.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08%

65.92%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01%

60.99%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Tula 33.45%

Spartak Moscow 39.98%

Draw 26.56%

Arsenal Tula	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.45%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.98%