SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
| 53.61% | 24.93% | 21.46% |
| Both teams to score 48.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% | 53.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% | 75.17% |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% | 19.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.82% | 52.18% |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% | 39.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.41% | 76.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.7% Total : 53.6% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.46% |
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