Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.