Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem
With an almost entirely overhauled squad that now features players that have experience at the very highest level of football, Al Ahli Saudi are a side that are expected to do well this season, and we expect they get going with a solid win in their first match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.
| Result |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Hazem |
41.67% ( -0.38) | 28.75% ( 0.42) | 29.57% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( -1.13) |
| 38.06% ( -1.4) | 61.93% ( 1.4) |
| 18.31% ( -1.05) | 81.69% ( 1.05) |
| 70.68% ( -0.89) | 29.31% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.71% ( -1.11) | 65.29% ( 1.11) |
| 62.67% ( -0.8) | 37.32% ( 0.8) |
