With Al-Nassr having very little time to rest and recover due to their involvement in the Arab Club Champions Cup final on Saturday, Al Ettifaq will sense an opportunity to cause an upset on the opening weekend.
However, the visitors clearly have far more attacking firepower than Gerrard's side, and we believe they are more than capable of avoiding defeat at worst despite their clear disadvantage here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.89%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.09) 
