SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quadisiya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Al Quadisiya |
32.58% ( 0.22) | 25.32% ( 0.02) | 42.1% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( -0.02) | 47.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( -0.02) | 70.04% ( 0.01) |
| Al Ettifaq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( 0.13) | 27.9% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( 0.17) | 63.52% ( -0.17) |
| Al Quadisiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.12) | 22.64% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( -0.18) | 56.27% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Al Quadisiya |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.58% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.1% |
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