Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Kurdi (45+1'),
Al Khaibari (64'), Mohammed Al-Dosari (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
We said: Al Riyadh 0-3 Al Ittihad
It is difficult to see anything but an away win here. The reigning champions have been fantastic this season, particularly in defence, and we fancy they will keep a third consecutive clean sheet in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Ittihad |
21.43% ( 0.14) | 25.32% ( 0.06) | 53.25% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( 0.01) |
| 44.82% ( -0.08) | 55.17% ( 0.09) |
| 23.58% ( -0.07) | 76.41% ( 0.07) |
| 59.18% ( 0.1) | 40.82% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.6% ( 0.09) | 77.4% ( -0.09) |
| 79.26% ( -0.11) | 20.74% ( 0.12) |
