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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Riyadh
0 - 4
Al Ittihad


Kurdi (45+1'), Al Khaibari (64'), Mohammed Al-Dosari (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Benzema (17'), Hamdallah (25' pen., 45+10'), Al-Amri (90+3')
Mustafa Shanqeeti (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 2-2 Al Riyadh
Thursday, August 17 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Tai
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Riyadh 0-3 Al Ittihad

It is difficult to see anything but an away win here. The reigning champions have been fantastic this season, particularly in defence, and we fancy they will keep a third consecutive clean sheet in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al RiyadhDrawAl Ittihad
21.43% (0.143 0.14) 25.32% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 53.25% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.9% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)55.17% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)76.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.18% (0.101 0.1)40.82% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.6% (0.091999999999999 0.09)77.4% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.114 -0.11)20.74% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.183 -0.18)53.36% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Al Riyadh 21.43%
    Al Ittihad 53.23%
    Draw 25.32%
Al RiyadhDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.35% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.4% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 21.43%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 13.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.5% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Damac 2-2 Al Riyadh
Thursday, August 17 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Wahda
Sunday, August 13 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Tai
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 0-3 Al Ittihad
Monday, August 14 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Salzburg 3-4 Al Ittihad
Sunday, August 7 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1


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