Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 4pm UK
Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium
Alanaze (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fajr (34' pen.), Al Mowalad (62'),
Ighalo (90+2')
Hejji (75')
We said: Al Tai 1-1 Al Wahda
There was not much to separate the sides last season despite Al Wahda's two victories, and there was not much to split them in terms of points, so a close game could be in store.
However, if the visitors can get Ighalo fit and on the pitch, that may give them a slight edge, given his record of 52 league goals in 71 matches in four years in Saudi.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Al Tai had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Al Tai win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wahda would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Tai | Draw | Al Wahda |
35.72% ( 0.05) | 26.99% ( 0.07) | 37.3% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.22) |
| 45.67% ( -0.27) | 54.33% ( 0.28) |
| 24.29% ( -0.23) | 75.71% ( 0.23) |
| 70.9% ( -0.1) | 29.1% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.13) | 65.02% ( 0.13) |
| 71.85% ( -0.2) | 28.15% ( 0.2) |
