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Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Balmoor Stadium
DL

Peterhead
0 - 3
Dundee


Conroy (41'), McCarthy (90'), Brown (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adam (33' pen.), McGinn (53'), Mulligan (88')
Byrne (45+1')

We said: Peterhead 1-2 Dundee

Despite their lowly league position in League One, Peterhead will relish the chance to play without freedom and cause an upset. However, we have to back the visitors to prevail on Monday night, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 60.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Peterhead win it was 2-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
PeterheadDrawDundee
18.4%20.93%60.67%
Both teams to score 55.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.01%40.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.61%63.38%
Peterhead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15%35.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38%72.62%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92%13.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.31%39.69%
Score Analysis
    Peterhead 18.4%
    Dundee 60.67%
    Draw 20.93%
PeterheadDrawDundee
2-1 @ 5.02%
1-0 @ 4.81%
2-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.75%
3-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 18.4%
1-1 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 5.11%
0-0 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.7%
0-1 @ 9.54%
1-3 @ 6.75%
0-3 @ 6.58%
2-3 @ 3.46%
1-4 @ 3.43%
0-4 @ 3.34%
2-4 @ 1.76%
1-5 @ 1.4%
0-5 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 60.67%

Read more!
Read more!


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