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RL
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Apr 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ibrox Stadium
CL

Rangers
2 - 0
Celtic

Davis (10'), Kenny (34' og.)
Aribo (74'), Barisic (85'), Kent (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brown (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Celtic win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
RangersDrawCeltic
42.91%25.72%31.37%
Both teams to score 53.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50%49.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02%71.97%
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94%57.06%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.24%29.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.17%65.82%
Score Analysis
    Rangers 42.9%
    Celtic 31.37%
    Draw 25.72%
RangersDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.9%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.37%

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