Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.17%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.