Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.