Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.