Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 69.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.