Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.