SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Annan Athletic |
47.88% ( -0.04) | 24.41% ( 0) | 27.7% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.1% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% ( -0.01) | 46.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( -0.01) | 68.5% ( 0.01) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( -0.02) | 19.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.82% ( -0.03) | 51.18% ( 0.03) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( 0.02) | 30.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.38% ( 0.02) | 66.62% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.88% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 27.7% |
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