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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | East Fife |
26.17% ( -0.05) | 23.79% ( -0.01) | 50.04% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( -0) | 44.61% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( -0) | 66.97% ( 0) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( -0.04) | 30.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.99% ( -0.05) | 67.01% ( 0.05) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( 0.02) | 17.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.29% ( 0.04) | 48.7% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | East Fife |
| 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.17% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.62% Total : 50.04% |
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