Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.