Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 53.64%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.