SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
36.1% ( 0.12) | 28.42% ( 0.09) | 35.48% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 46.56% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.23% ( -0.31) | 59.77% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( -0.24) | 80.06% ( 0.24) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( -0.08) | 31.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% ( -0.09) | 67.97% ( 0.09) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( -0.29) | 31.96% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( -0.33) | 68.42% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.48% |
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