Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
