Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
