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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
HL

St Johnstone
1 - 1
Hearts

Gordon (11')
Davidson (56'), May (67'), McCart (69'), Gordon (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ginnelly (40')
Souttar (35'), Devlin (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
25.44%26.83%47.73%
Both teams to score 46.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66%57.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83%78.16%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77%38.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01%74.99%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93%24.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65%58.35%
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 25.44%
    Hearts 47.72%
    Draw 26.83%
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-1 @ 6.06%
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 25.44%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 9.2%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 13.1%
0-2 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-3 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 4.26%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-4 @ 1.58%
1-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.72%

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