Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 2-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (12.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fuenlabrada in this match.