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Segunda Division | Gameweek 33
Jun 16, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Anxo Carro

Lugo
1 - 3
Zaragoza

Josete (90+2')
Hacen (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kagawa (19'), Guti (64'), Linares (86')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Real Zaragoza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
LugoDrawReal Zaragoza
25.93%27.37%46.7%
Both teams to score 45.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09%58.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6%79.4%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.33%38.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.59%75.41%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74%25.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99%60.01%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 25.93%
    Real Zaragoza 46.7%
    Draw 27.36%
LugoDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 9.28%
2-1 @ 6.07%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.93%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9.77%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 13.44%
0-2 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-3 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.46%
1-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.7%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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