Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Extremadura had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Extremadura win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.